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NOTHING SCARY' IN TODAY'S NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION NUMBERS, ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ SAYS

Washington, D.C.β€”β€œNonresidential construction provided a real treat to the economy in the third quarter,” Ken Simonson, Chief Economist for ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ of America (ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½), said today. Simonson was commenting on the October 31 reports on gross domestic product and construction spending from the Commerce Department.

β€œNet of inflation, or real, investment in private nonresidential structures jumped 12 percent in the third quarter, the eighth straight quarter this investment category has outpaced gross domestic product growth,” Simonson remarked. β€œYou have to go back to the mid-1950s to find another period when private nonresidential construction was so persistently robust.

β€œThe Census Bureau’s construction spending report was even sweeter,” Simonson commented. β€œPrivate and public nonresidential construction climbed 1.8 percent for the month of September and 17 percent over the past 12 months. That was enough to overcome the 1.4 percent fall in residential spending for the month and nearly offset the 16 percent residential drop from 12 months ago.

β€œThere was nothing scary in the nonresidential categories, even for credit-sensitive commercial types,” Simonson observed. β€œAll 16 Census categories were up for the month, and all but religious structures were higher on both a September-over-September and a year-to-date basis.

β€œOver the next several months, I expect investment to slow in income-producing properties such as office, hotel and retail structures,” Simonson stated. β€œBut accelerating investment in energy and power projects, plus continued strength in hospital and educational construction, should keep the nonresidential totals up.

β€œMy biggest concern is higher costs,” Simonson concluded. β€œDiesel prices, which affect contractors thorough use of offroad equipment, construction trucks and fuel surcharges on delivery of materials, are 25 percent higher than a year ago and seem poised to rise further. Other materials, especially imports, are likely to accelerate as well. And construction wage rates are going up faster than for the economy as a whole. But public agencies, from transportation departments to county councils, have failed to budget enough for construction cost escalation, and instead are trimming projects.”

ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ of America (ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½) is the largest and oldest national construction trade association in the United States. ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ represents nearly 33,000 firms, including 7,000 of America’s leading general contractors and 11,000 specialty-contracting firms. More than 13,000 service providers and suppliers are associated with ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ through a nationwide network of chapters. Visit the ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ Web site at ΒιΆΉ΄«Γ½ members are "Building Your Quality of Life.

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